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                    <title>TIGblogs - Dumisani Nyoni's TIGBlog</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/</link> 
                    <description>What's on the minds of young leaders from around the globe?</description> 
                    <language>en-us</language> 
             
                <item> 
                    <title>Zimbabwe Election Update</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/352507</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[There is a very interesting process which I have been so privileged to observe from a front row seat. As I write, election results are being announced from difference races across the country, they are appearing slowly, but surely. I think it is important to give a context to how this election has been set up:<br />
There are 4 different elections happening simultaneously: local council elections, lower house parliamentary seats [House of Assembly], the Upper House of parliament [The Senate] and the Presidency. There are 1 958 local council seats up for election in 1 958 wards around the country, there are 210 House of Assembly seats up for grabs, there are sixty senate seats and one presidential seat. Now each one of these positions has at least two candidates contesting, with some having as many as seven candidates (and in other cases more). So there are a lot of people involved in contesting for all the elected offices in zimbabwe. <br />
 <br />
<b>The post-voting electoral process</b><br />
 <br />
The process itself, that has come about out of a series of negotiations between the government and the opposition over the course of the past 12 months has meant that significant changes have been made to the electoral law in the country. New law requires that every polling station counts their ballots AT the station – this is in order to avoid rigging or tampering with ballot boxes in transit to any other location. This has been done in accordance with the law in every case. In a ward, you can get up to 3 or 4 polling stations depending on population data. In a constituency, you can get as many as 15 wards. This means that per constituency you get about 60 polling stations.<br />
 <br />
When the voting is done in that polling station, counting for all four seats begins – the local council, the lower house, the upper house and the presidency. For each candidate, there is a polling agent present to preside over the counting and to contest what they may deem to be deviations from due process or law. A result is only official when all the polling agents agree to it; hence in the case where there are disputes, this can take a while. Now remember, that this is happening for every single ballot, and every candidate's representatives can argue their cause. When a final result is reached and agreed upon by all parties and everyone signs to confirm such, the result <i><u>for that polling station</i></u> is posted on the entry way to that station. The official result is then sent to the 'Command Center' of that constituency. So in each constituency, they would have to wait for all sixty or so polling stations to reach that agreement, and then send the results to a central place where they are collated, and again agreed upon by all the Chief Election Agents of the candidates [if they chose to have agents represent them] and then a final result is reached. So in these cases, you can imagine how long this process may take given that (i) this is the first time that this was done in Zimbabwe; (ii) as in a big sporting game, the world cup final or something, every possession is contested – the same with these elections.; (iii) in some of the rural constituencies [actually, in most of them] the roads are horrendous. In some cases, non-existent. So moving a distance of 30 kilometres can actually take as long as an hour and a half to two hours. So movement is slow and complicated. And there are no telephones or electronic communications. <br />
 <br />
So the process is a slow one, and I think most people are doing the best to get these results out as fast as possible.<br />
 <br />
I observed the process in three electoral constituencies in rural Matabeleland. In VERY rural places so I am writing about all of this from first hand experience. The polls closed Saturday at 7pm. In the one constituency we only got a final result (after the process above was complete and all agreed upon) on Monday morning. Another one only by Monday afternoon. Others are not yet complete. <br />
 <br />
The mistake most people are making is that they see the result outside one polling station, take that as the overall result and then cry "that results are out. Why are they not being announced" and are completely ignorant of the process that must be taken to ensure that all parties involved at that local level are satisfied.<br />
 <br />
<b>Allegations of Rigging etc</b><br />
 <br />
The international news media is buzzing with stories about how these delays are being caused by the government trying to buy time and rig the election. I think that is all the elections I have participated in and observed in Zimbabwe, this has been the most free, fair and competitive election. There was almost no violence leading up to the election. For the first time, you actually had a lot of oppositions parties using main stream including government controlled media to campaign and having access to the electorate almost on par with the government [I saw almost, because the government always has the advantage of incumbency. If a government minister is commissioning a new project for example, that is a 'national duty' and not a political meeting so the electoral rules don't necessarily apply, but any smart operator would use that platform to plug for their cause]. This doesn't mean that everything about the period leading up to the election was fair, but I think the environment really has allowed for people to express their will.<br />
 <br />
Even the post-election process I feel has provided for much more fairness than before. What is really surprising to me is the extent to which immediately after the election was done, the main opposition (the MDC party led by Morgan Tsvangirai) went on a global media blitz claiming the election is being rigged and already setting up an environment for those who are either not really aware of the details of the process, or who are far removed from it to prejudge all that is happening. I was really surprised by this and think it to be a really sleazy tactic. <br />
 <br />
Rigging, if it is taking place, is not happening with people stuffing boxes full of paper etc. It is happening on very technical grounds where those who are least informed on electoral law and procedure don't know how to play the game fully.<br />
 <br />
Most people reading this will be surprised by what I am about to say, but in my observations, I saw the greatest cases of foul play [call it rigging if you will] coming from the opposition. And their methodology for this is very sophisticated. Let me try and explain…<br />
 <br />
When we were children, there was a tactic where if there was a dispute between us as kids playing together, lets say, one kid hits another, the initiator of the transgression would run to an adult and cry the loudest and claim they were hit. The adult would run out in response and to the surprise of everyone watching would lash out at the person who actually was smacked in the first place, but it was too late, the initiative had been lost by the 'victim'. It was a smart tactic which worked most of the time, but it left the person who was really hit feeling very, very unjustly treated.<br />
 <br />
A similar thing has happened in this election from what I have seen. The MDC has run out screaming that we've been cheated, there is rigging etc. they've smartly managed tog et everyone watching the wrong place while they smugly cook the books where they can. It's a very close election in most cases so every point counts. Let me give you examples of what I mean, without mentioning specific locations and situations as this could have legal implications.<br />
 <br />
The widespread belief is that the government will rig the election because it is so popular that it cannot win the election fairly. They say it will rig it because it has deployed civil servants to oversee the election. In reality, the people who have the greatest animosity towards the government are civil servants. Teachers, Nurses, Police etc. they are the lowest paid people in the country and yet have the most expected from them. So we found in 3 places, and I think this is a sample behavior of what you would find nation wide, whereby you had electoral officials, employed by the government trying to work things in favor of the opposition. <br />
            In one polling station, where a government candidate had won and the papers confirming this were signed at that station, the delivery note meant to go to the Command Centre with the result 'disappeared.' There was a recount and a revisiting of the whole process I've described, the result again came out in favor of the government. Again, the delivery note disappeared. Eventually, the culprit was identified and arrested and the processes repeated once again and the result eventually went through. In that constituency, the government representative for that seat won, and there were incredible delays in releasing that data over endless, undescribed technicalities. Eventually, representatives from the electoral commission from the region's capital had to be called in to settle it. <br />
            Another incident, there was a case whereby a person standing for office of the government had a comfortable lead in their constituency with a margin of over 1000 votes. Two wards were still outstanding [about 6 polling stations]. When results came in, the ZANU PF [the governing party] representative won one constituency, and lost the other. The margin of the loss was significantly smaller than one thousand. The candidate's polling agent left the scene assuming victory. This was on Monday morning. Monday afternoon, we heard the results announced that the ZANU PF candidate has lost by over 2000 votes. Mathematically, this is not possible. There was most certainly an 'accounting error' in that case and the result will most probably be legally challenged. <br />
            The opposition has set up all of these 'parallel' structures to feed the word election results as 'they' see them. Some of them are so grossly wrong its disturbing. Yesterday they projected that out of 210 Lower House seats, the government has won only 50, the opposition 117 and the balance going to independents – which would of course mean a land slide for the opposition. As I type, about 90 results for the House of Assembly have been announced with 43 going to ZANU PF, 41 going to one faction of the MDC (Tsvangirai's faction) and the balance to independents and the smaller MDC Faction.<br />
 <br />
One thing that is being done which could be seen as controversial is that the results in the early stages are being announced almost in a balanced manner – i.e., you announce one victory for the opposition, one for the government etc. one reason for doing this may be so that you don't raise expectations of one side and then have a Kenya-type dispute when the final results swings in contradiction to early results. I think this makes sense because you do want to maintain calm in such a tense situation. Those advocating for this to be done "as results appear" seem to not have learned from what happened just north of Zimbabwe a few months ago.<br />
 <br />
I am sure there are cases of government (ZANU PF) rigging happening too, but I think ZANU's mischief would more have been done before the election, in the process leading up to it rather than during or post the election. But I am sure others elsewhere have their own reports and perspectives to share on this, especially those participating or observing the election for places that overwhelmingly support ZANU PF, of which Matabeleland isn't traditionally one of them.<br />
 <br />
<b>Contrary to 'popular' expectations</b><br />
Most commentators outside the country expect the ruling party and president to lose the election. The economic situation and an environment that actually allows more of a freer expression of people's will are cited as some of the influencing factors in those calculations. This is plausible thinking to some degree. I did not expect the president to have <b><i><u>any </b></i></u>support in Matabeleland at all. Given the history of this region, given the economic situation and the strong support the opposition has always had here, I was surprised to see the results in some places. <br />
 <br />
You would see results in a polling station where the president won by a significant margin over his opponents. You would get some where he lost by a very wide margin, and others that were close. I certainly expected him to lose everywhere in this part of the country. It's not turning out that way. In most areas here where I observed things up close, except for Bulawayo and urban centers, the presidential contest seems to have been between Robert Mugabe and Simba Makoni. Surprisingly, there is not much traction for Morgan Tsvangirai (which may be different in the northern and eastern regions of the country). In one entire constituency, Robert Mugabe beat Simba Makoni in the final tally of about 55 polling stations! It was a small margin but extremely surprising. In general, I think he will lose Matabeleland, but not by the wide margins people predict.<br />
 <br />
Where there is the greatest volatility in the election has been the local councils. That's where you get the most surprising results with many, many incumbents being thrown out. In retrospect, it makes sense because those are the candidates they know the best, that have the most direct contact and influence and that people have some form of control over. Again, that surprised me, given that the elections have always been billed as a presidential contest primarily. <br />
 <br />
The funny thing is that, you have external commentators surprised by the victories that the government achieves despite the situation economically. I feel that most people who vote for the president or governing party candidates have really done so out of their will. Many have chosen not to vote [hence the low voter turn out] for whatever reasons. When you have a 'democratic' election, and the candidate that outsiders don't prefer wins, there is always a problem. Ironically, those are the people who become hypocritical and do not accept the results. When Hamas won the elections in Palestine we saw the same thing happen. It's really funny watching the perspective of the 'western media' on Zimbabwe. BBC, CNN et al have been giving some pretty hilarious (and infuriating reporting). Partly because of their obvious biases, but also because of their location – they are not on the ground in Zimbabwe (for various, debatable reasons). <br />
 <br />
There are all sorts of notorious reports out there:<br />
The president has left the country – Not True<br />
The Military has been ordered to announce the president the winner – again, I don't think this is true. (http://www.swradioafrica.com/news300308/military300308.htm) <br />
 <br />
And so on … Most of these are not really true from what we can acertain, although confirming anything like that isn't really easy to do.<br />
 <br />
 <br />
There are reports of civil unrest, and the military and police on the street. That is CERTAINLY not the case. Definitely not the case in Bulawayo and from what friends are telling me, it's not the case in Harare. It's one thing to look for an interesting story. It's mischief to say things that could lead to a tense (but calm) situation becoming tense and volatile. <br />
 <br />
I think if I called the BBC and claimed that I was being attacked by a Sabre Tooth Tiger sent by the government, I'd be on the front page of their website and on satellite TV within the hour! <br />
 <br />
It's a pretty close election – I think it could go either way. You'll probably get nothing more dramatic than a 55% -- 45% margin in the final result as far as parliament is concerned. The same may hold for the presidency.<br />
 <br />
I don't think Robert Mugabe is going to lose. If he does, I think he will probably accept the result, but expect some trading to take place about a way forward depending on his margin of defeat. But I don't think he will lose. <br />
 <br />
Well, my 'few thoughts' did become rather long and protracted – but other than that, we are all fine and awaiting the completion of the process with as much anxiety as everyone else.<br />
 <br />
Actually, the REAL result we are awaiting has NOTHING to do with the election. At around 3am this morning my sister, Mvuse, went into labor with her first pregnancy! So we are all on edge because that will be my parent's first biological grand child!!! It's a girl, that we know – but we're super excited to have her finally arrival. And what perfect timing, in time for the election results and on April Fool's Day no less!<br />
<br />
]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Wed, 02 Apr 2008 10:22:00 EDT</pubDate> 
					<guid isPermaLink="true">http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/352507</guid>
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                    <title>Ridiculous Global Media Coverage of Zimbabwe's Election</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/352503</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[Coup d’Media in Zimbabwe <br />
<br />
It is shocking how the media in South Africa and that emanating mainly from countries in Europe and North America has gone ahead and made bold declarations about Zimbabwe’s recent election without paying much attention to the legal proceedings that dictate the unfolding of events here.<br />
<br />
1.	they have been drumming up since <b><u>before</b></u> voting closed been declaring that the president, Robert Mugabe, as lost the election, and the blitz has been so total that the intention seems to be to convince the whole world that the desired outcome of people not in Zimbabwe, who did not vote, becomes the dominant perception and in a way, reality.<br />
2.	the bias on the commentary on the satellite TV station is not surprising, but it is surprisingly anti most of the ethics and values you associate with the ‘independent press.’<br />
3.	the media went on for days about how the president and the ruling party were attempting to ‘rig’ the election. The opposition has gone on to declare victory unilaterally before any of the processes stated under law are complete which are actually slow by their nature and based on the nature of this most recent election. No one is accusing the opposition of ‘stealing’ the election. Where is the balance there? Imagine the President had declared himself the winner Sunday morning. What would those same ‘defenders of democracy’ have stated?<br />
a.	The same opposition which woke up the morning after the election is claiming fraud is now claiming that the same fraudulent election is one which they have won… how?<br />
b.	The same people who stated last night that they will wait for the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission to issue the official results and that they will follow the official results have now gone and stated that they will declare victory based on their own results which they have collated [some of which I have seen and are very different to what has been the actual results]. Yet the same media stations are accepting, tolerating and even promoting all of this.<br />
c.	Imagine if the government had done the same – the outrage, and retaliation by the ‘international community.’<br />
<br />
Then when Robert Mugabe rages on about his fight against imperialism and western domination, and western bullying and the lack of respect of the principles of sovereignty, people say he is a disgruntled old dictator? Wouldn’t you be upset if you were in his position everyday for 15 years?<br />
<br />
If i had the time, i would do a fuller analysis of this, but i am not sure it's even worth the time. No one out there listens to any other perspectives other than the ones that they want to see as reality]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Wed, 02 Apr 2008 10:07:00 EDT</pubDate> 
					<guid isPermaLink="true">http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/352503</guid>
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                    <title>Update on the ZImbabwe Election</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/352487</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[There is a very interesting process which I have been so privileged to observe from a front row seat. As I write, election results are being announced from difference races across the country, they are appearing slowly, but surely. I think it is important to give a context to how this election has been set up:<br />
There are 4 different elections happening simultaneously: local council elections, lower house parliamentary seats [House of Assembly], the Upper House of parliament [The Senate] and the Presidency. There are 1 958 local council seats up for election in 1 958 wards around the country, there are 210 House of Assembly seats up for grabs, there are sixty senate seats and one presidential seat. Now each one of these positions has at least two candidates contesting, with some having as many as seven candidates (and in other cases more). So there are a lot of people involved in contesting for all the elected offices in zimbabwe. <br />
 <br />
<b>The post-voting electoral process</b><br />
 <br />
The process itself, that has come about out of a series of negotiations between the government and the opposition over the course of the past 12 months has meant that significant changes have been made to the electoral law in the country. New law requires that every polling station counts their ballots AT the station – this is in order to avoid rigging or tampering with ballot boxes in transit to any other location. This has been done in accordance with the law in every case. In a ward, you can get up to 3 or 4 polling stations depending on population data. In a constituency, you can get as many as 15 wards. This means that per constituency you get about 60 polling stations.<br />
 <br />
When the voting is done in that polling station, counting for all four seats begins – the local council, the lower house, the upper house and the presidency. For each candidate, there is a polling agent present to preside over the counting and to contest what they may deem to be deviations from due process or law. A result is only official when all the polling agents agree to it; hence in the case where there are disputes, this can take a while. Now remember, that this is happening for every single ballot, and every candidate's representatives can argue their cause. When a final result is reached and agreed upon by all parties and everyone signs to confirm such, the result <i><u>for that polling station</i></u> is posted on the entry way to that station. The official result is then sent to the 'Command Center' of that constituency. So in each constituency, they would have to wait for all sixty or so polling stations to reach that agreement, and then send the results to a central place where they are collated, and again agreed upon by all the Chief Election Agents of the candidates [if they chose to have agents represent them] and then a final result is reached. So in these cases, you can imagine how long this process may take given that (i) this is the first time that this was done in Zimbabwe; (ii) as in a big sporting game, the world cup final or something, every possession is contested – the same with these elections.; (iii) in some of the rural constituencies [actually, in most of them] the roads are horrendous. In some cases, non-existent. So moving a distance of 30 kilometres can actually take as long as an hour and a half to two hours. So movement is slow and complicated. And there are no telephones or electronic communications. <br />
 <br />
So the process is a slow one, and I think most people are doing the best to get these results out as fast as possible.<br />
 <br />
I observed the process in three electoral constituencies in rural Matabeleland. In VERY rural places so I am writing about all of this from first hand experience. The polls closed Saturday at 7pm. In the one constituency we only got a final result (after the process above was complete and all agreed upon) on Monday morning. Another one only by Monday afternoon. Others are not yet complete. <br />
 <br />
The mistake most people are making is that they see the result outside one polling station, take that as the overall result and then cry "that results are out. Why are they not being announced" and are completely ignorant of the process that must be taken to ensure that all parties involved at that local level are satisfied.<br />
 <br />
<b>Allegations of Rigging etc</b><br />
 <br />
The international news media is buzzing with stories about how these delays are being caused by the government trying to buy time and rig the election. I think that is all the elections I have participated in and observed in Zimbabwe, this has been the most free, fair and competitive election. There was almost no violence leading up to the election. For the first time, you actually had a lot of oppositions parties using main stream including government controlled media to campaign and having access to the electorate almost on par with the government [I saw almost, because the government always has the advantage of incumbency. If a government minister is commissioning a new project for example, that is a 'national duty' and not a political meeting so the electoral rules don't necessarily apply, but any smart operator would use that platform to plug for their cause]. This doesn't mean that everything about the period leading up to the election was fair, but I think the environment really has allowed for people to express their will.<br />
 <br />
Even the post-election process I feel has provided for much more fairness than before. What is really surprising to me is the extent to which immediately after the election was done, the main opposition (the MDC party led by Morgan Tsvangirai) went on a global media blitz claiming the election is being rigged and already setting up an environment for those who are either not really aware of the details of the process, or who are far removed from it to prejudge all that is happening. I was really surprised by this and think it to be a really sleazy tactic. <br />
 <br />
Rigging, if it is taking place, is not happening with people stuffing boxes full of paper etc. It is happening on very technical grounds where those who are least informed on electoral law and procedure don't know how to play the game fully.<br />
 <br />
Most people reading this will be surprised by what I am about to say, but in my observations, I saw the greatest cases of foul play [call it rigging if you will] coming from the opposition. And their methodology for this is very sophisticated. Let me try and explain…<br />
 <br />
When we were children, there was a tactic where if there was a dispute between us as kids playing together, lets say, one kid hits another, the initiator of the transgression would run to an adult and cry the loudest and claim they were hit. The adult would run out in response and to the surprise of everyone watching would lash out at the person who actually was smacked in the first place, but it was too late, the initiative had been lost by the 'victim'. It was a smart tactic which worked most of the time, but it left the person who was really hit feeling very, very unjustly treated.<br />
 <br />
A similar thing has happened in this election from what I have seen. The MDC has run out screaming that we've been cheated, there is rigging etc. they've smartly managed tog et everyone watching the wrong place while they smugly cook the books where they can. It's a very close election in most cases so every point counts. Let me give you examples of what I mean, without mentioning specific locations and situations as this could have legal implications.<br />
 <br />
The widespread belief is that the government will rig the election because it is so popular that it cannot win the election fairly. They say it will rig it because it has deployed civil servants to oversee the election. In reality, the people who have the greatest animosity towards the government are civil servants. Teachers, Nurses, Police etc. they are the lowest paid people in the country and yet have the most expected from them. So we found in 3 places, and I think this is a sample behavior of what you would find nation wide, whereby you had electoral officials, employed by the government trying to work things in favor of the opposition. <br />
            In one polling station, where a government candidate had won and the papers confirming this were signed at that station, the delivery note meant to go to the Command Centre with the result 'disappeared.' There was a recount and a revisiting of the whole process I've described, the result again came out in favor of the government. Again, the delivery note disappeared. Eventually, the culprit was identified and arrested and the processes repeated once again and the result eventually went through. In that constituency, the government representative for that seat won, and there were incredible delays in releasing that data over endless, undescribed technicalities. Eventually, representatives from the electoral commission from the region's capital had to be called in to settle it. <br />
            Another incident, there was a case whereby a person standing for office of the government had a comfortable lead in their constituency with a margin of over 1000 votes. Two wards were still outstanding [about 6 polling stations]. When results came in, the ZANU PF [the governing party] representative won one constituency, and lost the other. The margin of the loss was significantly smaller than one thousand. The candidate's polling agent left the scene assuming victory. This was on Monday morning. Monday afternoon, we heard the results announced that the ZANU PF candidate has lost by over 2000 votes. Mathematically, this is not possible. There was most certainly an 'accounting error' in that case and the result will most probably be legally challenged. <br />
            The opposition has set up all of these 'parallel' structures to feed the word election results as 'they' see them. Some of them are so grossly wrong its disturbing. Yesterday they projected that out of 210 Lower House seats, the government has won only 50, the opposition 117 and the balance going to independents – which would of course mean a land slide for the opposition. As I type, about 90 results for the House of Assembly have been announced with 43 going to ZANU PF, 41 going to one faction of the MDC (Tsvangirai's faction) and the balance to independents and the smaller MDC Faction.<br />
 <br />
One thing that is being done which could be seen as controversial is that the results in the early stages are being announced almost in a balanced manner – i.e., you announce one victory for the opposition, one for the government etc. one reason for doing this may be so that you don't raise expectations of one side and then have a Kenya-type dispute when the final results swings in contradiction to early results. I think this makes sense because you do want to maintain calm in such a tense situation. Those advocating for this to be done "as results appear" seem to not have learned from what happened just north of Zimbabwe a few months ago.<br />
 <br />
I am sure there are cases of government (ZANU PF) rigging happening too, but I think ZANU's mischief would more have been done before the election, in the process leading up to it rather than during or post the election. But I am sure others elsewhere have their own reports and perspectives to share on this, especially those participating or observing the election for places that overwhelmingly support ZANU PF, of which Matabeleland isn't traditionally one of them.<br />
 <br />
<b>Contrary to 'popular' expectations</b><br />
Most commentators outside the country expect the ruling party and president to lose the election. The economic situation and an environment that actually allows more of a freer expression of people's will are cited as some of the influencing factors in those calculations. This is plausible thinking to some degree. I did not expect the president to have <b><i><u>any </b></i></u>support in Matabeleland at all. Given the history of this region, given the economic situation and the strong support the opposition has always had here, I was surprised to see the results in some places. <br />
 <br />
You would see results in a polling station where the president won by a significant margin over his opponents. You would get some where he lost by a very wide margin, and others that were close. I certainly expected him to lose everywhere in this part of the country. It's not turning out that way. In most areas here where I observed things up close, except for Bulawayo and urban centers, the presidential contest seems to have been between Robert Mugabe and Simba Makoni. Surprisingly, there is not much traction for Morgan Tsvangirai (which may be different in the northern and eastern regions of the country). In one entire constituency, Robert Mugabe beat Simba Makoni in the final tally of about 55 polling stations! It was a small margin but extremely surprising. In general, I think he will lose Matabeleland, but not by the wide margins people predict.<br />
 <br />
Where there is the greatest volatility in the election has been the local councils. That's where you get the most surprising results with many, many incumbents being thrown out. In retrospect, it makes sense because those are the candidates they know the best, that have the most direct contact and influence and that people have some form of control over. Again, that surprised me, given that the elections have always been billed as a presidential contest primarily. <br />
 <br />
The funny thing is that, you have external commentators surprised by the victories that the government achieves despite the situation economically. I feel that most people who vote for the president or governing party candidates have really done so out of their will. Many have chosen not to vote [hence the low voter turn out] for whatever reasons. When you have a 'democratic' election, and the candidate that outsiders don't prefer wins, there is always a problem. Ironically, those are the people who become hypocritical and do not accept the results. When Hamas won the elections in Palestine we saw the same thing happen. It's really funny watching the perspective of the 'western media' on Zimbabwe. BBC, CNN et al have been giving some pretty hilarious (and infuriating reporting). Partly because of their obvious biases, but also because of their location – they are not on the ground in Zimbabwe (for various, debatable reasons). <br />
 <br />
There are all sorts of notorious reports out there:<br />
The president has left the country – Not True<br />
The Military has been ordered to announce the president the winner – again, I don't think this is true. (http://www.swradioafrica.com/news300308/military300308.htm) <br />
 <br />
And so on … Most of these are not really true from what we can acertain, although confirming anything like that isn't really easy to do.<br />
 <br />
 <br />
There are reports of civil unrest, and the military and police on the street. That is CERTAINLY not the case. Definitely not the case in Bulawayo and from what friends are telling me, it's not the case in Harare. It's one thing to look for an interesting story. It's mischief to say things that could lead to a tense (but calm) situation becoming tense and volatile. <br />
 <br />
I think if I called the BBC and claimed that I was being attacked by a Sabre Tooth Tiger sent by the government, I'd be on the front page of their website and on satellite TV within the hour! <br />
 <br />
It's a pretty close election – I think it could go either way. You'll probably get nothing more dramatic than a 55% -- 45% margin in the final result as far as parliament is concerned. The same may hold for the presidency.<br />
 <br />
I don't think Robert Mugabe is going to lose. If he does, I think he will probably accept the result, but expect some trading to take place about a way forward depending on his margin of defeat. But I don't think he will lose. <br />
 <br />
Well, my 'few thoughts' did become rather long and protracted – but other than that, we are all fine and awaiting the completion of the process with as much anxiety as everyone else.<br />
 <br />
Actually, the REAL result we are awaiting has NOTHING to do with the election. At around 3am this morning my sister, Mvuse, went into labor with her first pregnancy! So we are all on edge because that will be my parent's first biological grand child!!! It's a girl, that we know – but we're super excited to have her finally arrival. And what perfect timing, in time for the election results and on April Fool's Day no less!<br />
<br />
]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Wed, 02 Apr 2008 09:39:00 EDT</pubDate> 
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                    <title>Hypocrisy Democracy</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/349685</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[do the math. see if you can work out how hypocritical the media can be in this democracy thing .... this is just one [respected] publication.... but the hypocrisy i find across the board not just in The Economist.<br />
<br />
http://www.economist.com/world/africa/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9032254<br />
http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10430289<br />
http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10328986<br />
http://www.economist.com/world/africa/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10328292<br />
http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9079815<br />
http://www.economist.com/world/africa/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10880693<br />
http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=8929019<br />
<br />
]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 06:22:00 EDT</pubDate> 
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                    <title>The FaKebook Generation - NY Times</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/263197</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[This Article is called the Fakebook Generation and recently appeared in the New York Times - rather interesting... I wonder how many young people can identify with Mathias's points, which i think are a very good reflection on our generation and emerging global on-line, interconnected culture!<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<b>Op-Ed Contributor<br />
The Fakebook Generation </b><br />
<br />
<i>By ALICE MATHIAS<br />
Published: October 6, 2007</i><br />
<br />
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/06/opinion/06mathias.html?ref=opinion<br />
<br />
Chicago<br />
<br />
THE time-chugging Web site Facebook.com first appeared during my freshman year as the exclusive domain of college students. This spring, Facebook opened its pearly gates, enabling myself and other members of the class of ’07 to graduate from our college networks into those of the real world. <br />
<br />
In no time at all, the Web site has convinced its rapidly assembling adult population that it is a forum for genuine personal and professional connections. Its founder, Mark Zuckerberg, has even declared his quest to chart a “social graph” of human relationships the way that cartographers once charted the world.<br />
<br />
Just a warning: if you’re planning on following the corner of this map that’s been digitally doodled by my 659 Facebook friends, you are going to end up in the middle of nowhere. All the rhetoric about human connectivity misses the real reason this popular online study buddy has so distracted college students for the past four years. <br />
<br />
Facebook did not become popular because it was a functional tool — after all, most college students live in close quarters with the majority of their Facebook friends and have no need for social networking. Instead, we log into the Web site because it’s entertaining to watch a constantly evolving narrative starring the other people in the library.<br />
<br />
I’ve always thought of Facebook as online community theater. In costumes we customize in a backstage makeup room — the Edit Profile page, where we can add a few Favorite Books or touch up our About Me section — we deliver our lines on the very public stage of friends’ walls or photo albums. And because every time we join a network, post a link or make another friend it’s immediately made visible to others via the News Feed, every Facebook act is a soliloquy to our anonymous audience. <br />
<br />
It’s all comedy: making one another laugh matters more than providing useful updates about ourselves, which is why entirely phony profiles were all the rage before the grown-ups signed in. One friend announced her status as In a Relationship with Chinese Food, whose profile picture was a carry-out box and whose personal information personified the cuisine of China.<br />
<br />
We even make a joke out of how we know one another — claiming to have met in “Intro to Super Mario Re-enactments,” which I seriously doubt is a real course at Wesleyan, or to have lived together in a “spay and neuter clinic” instead of the dorm. Still, these humor bits often reveal more about our personalities and interests than any honest answers. <br />
<br />
Facebook administrators have since exiled at least the flagrantly fake profiles, the Greta Garbos and the I Can’t Believe It’s Not Butters, in an effort to have the site grow up from a farce into the serious social networking tool promised to its new adult users, who earnestly type in their actual personal information and precisely label everyone they know as former co-workers or current colleagues, family members or former lovers. <br />
<br />
But does this more reverent incarnation of Facebook actually enrich adult relationships? What do these constellations of work colleagues and long-lost friends amount to? An online office mixer? A reunion with that one other guy from your high school who has a Facebook profile? Oh! You get to see pictures of your former college sweetheart’s family! (Only depressing possibilities are coming to mind for some reason.)<br />
<br />
My generation has long been bizarrely comfortable with being looked at, and as performers on the Facebook stage, we upload pictures of ourselves cooking dinner for our parents or doing keg stands at last night’s party; we are reckless with our personal information. But there is one area of privacy that we won’t surrender: the secrecy of how and whom we search.<br />
<br />
A friend of mine was recently in a panic over rumors of a hacker application that would allow Facebook users to see who’s been visiting their profiles. She’d spent the day ogling a love interest’s page and was horrified at the idea that he knew she’d been looking at him. But there’s no way Facebook would allow such a program to exist: the site is popular largely because it enables us to indulge our gazes anonymously. (We might feel invulnerable in the spotlight, but we don’t want to be caught sitting in someone else’s audience.) If our ability to privately search is ever jeopardized, Facebook will turn into a ghost town.<br />
<br />
Facebook purports to be a place for human connectivity, but it’s made us more wary of real human confrontation. When I was in college, people always warned against the dangers of “Facebook stalking” at a library computer — the person whose profile you’re perusing might be right behind you. Dwelling online is a cowardly and utterly enjoyable alternative to real interaction. <br />
<br />
So even though Facebook offers an elaborate menu of privacy settings, many of my friends admit that the only setting they use is the one that prevents people from seeing that they are Currently Logged In. Perhaps we fear that the Currently Logged In feature advertises to everyone else that we (too!) are Currently Bored, Lustful, Socially Unfulfilled or Generally Avoiding Real Life. <br />
<br />
For young people, Facebook is yet another form of escapism; we can turn our lives into stage dramas and relationships into comedy routines. Make believe is not part of the postgraduate Facebook user’s agenda. As more and more older users try to turn Facebook into a legitimate social reference guide, younger people may follow suit and stop treating it as a circus ring. But let’s hope not. <br />
<br />
Alice Mathias is a 2007 graduate of Dartmouth.<br />
]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Sat, 06 Oct 2007 09:00:00 EDT</pubDate> 
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                    <title>US agricultural law and global hunger</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/178725</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[It's ridiculous how the US justifies its agricultural policy at the<br />
expense of other peoples' livelihoods.<br />
<br />
nothing really new in this article, but it's good to see this issue<br />
getting media attention.<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
From http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/04/06/africa/web0406-zambia.php<br />
<br />
<b> For the hungry in Zambia, U.S. law may hinder urgent food aid</b><br />
<b>By Cecilia W. Dugger</i><br />
Friday, April 6, 2007<br />
<br />
<br />
MULONDO, Zambia: Traveling to school in wobbly dugout canoes, Munalula<br />
Muhau and her three cousins, 7 and 8 year olds whose parents died of<br />
AIDS, held onto just one possession: battered tin bowls to receive<br />
their daily ration of gruel.<br />
<br />
Within weeks, those rations, provided by the United Nations World Food<br />
Program, will run out for them and 500,000 other paupers, including<br />
thousands of people wasted by AIDS who are being treated with<br />
American-financed drugs that make them healthier - and ravenously<br />
hungry.<br />
<br />
"Not to put too fine a point on it," said Jeffrey Stringer, an<br />
American doctor who runs a non-profit group treating 50,000 Zambians<br />
with AIDS, "but it will result in the death of some patients."<br />
<br />
Hoping to forestall such a dire outcome, the World Food Program made<br />
an urgent appeal in February for cash donations so it could buy corn<br />
from Zambia's own bountiful harvest, piled in towering stacks in the<br />
warehouses of the capital, Lusaka.<br />
<br />
But United States law requires that virtually all donated food be<br />
grown in America and shipped at great expense across oceans, mostly on<br />
vessels that fly American flags and employ American crews - a process<br />
that typically takes four to six months.<br />
<br />
For a third year, the Bush administration, which has pushed to make<br />
foreign aid more efficient, is trying to change the law to allow the<br />
United States to use up to a quarter of the budget of its main food<br />
aid program to buy food in developing countries during emergencies.<br />
The proposal has run into stiff opposition from a potent alliance of<br />
agribusiness, shipping and charitable groups with deep financial<br />
stakes in the current food aid system.<br />
<br />
Oxfam, the international aid group, and other proponents of the Bush<br />
proposal, say it would enable the United States to feed more people<br />
more quickly, while helping fight poverty by buying the crops of<br />
peasants in poor countries.<br />
<br />
The U.S. Agency for International Development estimated that if<br />
Congress adopted the Bush proposal, the United States could feed at<br />
least a million more people and save 50,000 more lives.<br />
<br />
But Congress quickly killed the plan in each of the past two years,<br />
cautioning that untying food aid from domestic interest groups would<br />
weaken the commitment that has made the United States by far the<br />
largest food aid donor in a world where 850 million go hungry.<br />
<br />
Representative Tom Lantos, Democrat of California and chairman of the<br />
House Foreign Relations Committee, warned last year at a food aid<br />
conference in Washington that decoupling food aid from American<br />
maritime and agribusiness interests "is beyond insane."<br />
<br />
"It is a mistake of gigantic proportions," he said, "because support<br />
for such a program will vanish overnight, overnight."<br />
<br />
But James Kunder, acting deputy administrator of the U.S. Agency for<br />
International Development, said in an interview that the<br />
administration proposal - which would affect less than half of one<br />
percent of American agricultural exports - would not undercut American<br />
interests.<br />
<br />
"The burden of proof is on producers and shippers to show this is<br />
going to significantly damage their interests," he said, "because we<br />
can provide compelling evidence that allowing local procurement is<br />
going to save lives by speeding up delivery of supplies."<br />
<br />
Here in Zambia, population 11 million, more than a million children<br />
are already orphaned, mostly because AIDS killed their parents. Life<br />
expectancy has plunged to 38 years, and countless sickened adults,<br />
unable to work, can no longer feed their families.<br />
<br />
On a recent day, patients on U.S.-financed AIDS drugs and their<br />
families streamed into a food distribution point at the Lewanika<br />
Hospital in Mongu town. Already, as the World Food Program's stocks<br />
have run low, rations have been almost halved. Some were so hungry<br />
that they scooped handfuls of corn-soy powder into their mouths<br />
without even adding water to make porridge.<br />
<br />
One of the patients, Annie Mubita, a 32-year-old mother of six, said<br />
her strength is returning, and so is her appetite, which had shriveled<br />
when she was sick. Mubita assumes her children are also HIV positive,<br />
she said, but has not had them tested because if they, too, go on the<br />
drugs, they will be as hungry as she is.<br />
<br />
"If the children have an appetite like me, the food won't last even<br />
two weeks," she said. If the rations end, she said, "me and my<br />
children will die."<br />
<br />
Kandundu Litia, a 12-year-old orphan with AIDS, also fears a cut-off<br />
of food. Before the rations began, she said, her aunt, uncle and<br />
cousins would eat when she was at school. "There was none left when I<br />
got home," she whispered, her head dropping. The short shock of hair<br />
springing from her head still had the telltale reddish tint of the<br />
malnourished.<br />
<br />
David Stevenson, who heads the World Food Program's Zambia office and<br />
has worked for the organization in Africa for 15 years, through war<br />
and drought, says he has never seen a crisis on the scale of what AIDS<br />
and drought have wrought in Zambia. He worries as supplies dwindle.<br />
<br />
With cash donations, the World Food Program could get Zambian corn to<br />
the hungry in a month, far faster than the United States could<br />
typically act.<br />
<br />
The cash would also stretch further than in-kind food. In recent<br />
years, the World Food Program has procured 75 percent more food for<br />
Zambia, Kenya and Uganda by buying corn grown in those countries,<br />
rather than shipping American food, according to Michigan State<br />
University agricultural economists who studied crop and shipping data.<br />
<br />
There is hope that Zambia, a relatively stable democracy, can become a<br />
bread basket in a region roiled by conflict, disease and economic<br />
collapse, at least in years when it is not devastated by drought.<br />
<br />
In lean years, the World Food Program shuts down its buying operation<br />
here for fear of driving up the prices of corn, the main staple,<br />
beyond the reach of poor consumers. It imports food instead.<br />
<br />
But during bumper harvests, the World Food Program has become a major<br />
buyer of Zambian-grown corn. Since 2001, it has bought more than $1<br />
billion worth of food in some of the poorest countries on earth.<br />
<br />
For farmers like Catherine Hangama, 36, that money makes all the<br />
difference. She works a small plot with her husband in the village of<br />
Nakandyoli in Mumbwa district. For the first time last year they sold<br />
a small surplus of maize for $53 to the Zambian government's Food<br />
Reserve Agency, one of the World Food Programs biggest suppliers here.<br />
<br />
That money bought soap and paid for uniforms and fees to send three<br />
children to school. This year, she and her husband have planted more<br />
and hope to sell 15 bags after this year's harvest.<br />
<br />
"If I don't plow well, the children won't be able to go to school,"<br />
she explained, with one twin baby at her breast and the other on her<br />
back.<br />
<br />
What Hangama earns is a pittance compared with the billions at stake<br />
for the main players in American food aid.<br />
<br />
Over the past three years, the same four companies and their<br />
subsidiaries - Archer Daniels Midland, Cargill, Bunge and Cal Western<br />
Packaging - have sold the American government more than half the $2.2<br />
billion in food for Food for Peace, the largest food aid program, and<br />
two smaller programs, according to the Department of Agriculture.<br />
<br />
Shipping companies were paid $1.3 billion over the same period to move<br />
the food aid overseas, the USDA figures show.<br />
<br />
And nonprofit groups received over $500 million in donated American<br />
food, which they sold at market rates in developing countries to raise<br />
money for antipoverty programs, according to U.S. AID and a recent<br />
study by Emmy Simmons, a retired U.S. AID official.<br />
<br />
Agribusiness and shipping groups vigorously oppose the Bush<br />
administration proposal to buy food in developing countries with cash,<br />
which they argue is more likely to be stolen. They say American food<br />
is safer and of higher quality and that the government can speed<br />
delivery by storing it in warehouses around the world.<br />
<br />
And they defend the idea that federal spending should benefit American<br />
business and farming interests, as well as the hungry. Without support<br />
from such interest groups, food aid budgets from Congress would<br />
whither, they say.<br />
<br />
"It would be at extreme risk of being diminished," said Paul Green, a<br />
consultant to the North American Millers' Association, a trade<br />
association for the milling industry that counts Archer Daniels<br />
Midland, Bunge and Horizon Milling, a joint venture of Cargill and CHS<br />
among its members.<br />
<br />
Gloria Tosi, a lobbyist and immediate past president of the American<br />
Maritime Congress, an association of U.S.-flag ship owners, agreed.<br />
"There's no constituency for cash," she said.<br />
<br />
Many charitable groups involved in food aid share that worry, and also<br />
warn that a badly managed program to buy food in poor countries could<br />
drive up food prices and worsen hunger.<br />
<br />
The Alliance for Food Aid, 14 nonprofit groups involved in<br />
distributing and selling American food aid overseas, maintains that<br />
the Bush proposal is too ambitious and advocate a modest pilot<br />
program.<br />
<br />
"Do a demonstration," said Robert Zachritz, a senior policy adviser at<br />
World Vision. "Does it work? Then you can go from there."<br />
<br />
For now, the World Food Program is hoping other rich nations or<br />
individuals will donate cash to keep rations flowing for the half<br />
million needy Zambiams, among them Manaluna and 135,000 children fed<br />
through community schools.<br />
<br />
The pupils in this grass hut schoolhouse are from families so poor<br />
they cannot afford the flip flops and $6 uniforms required to attend<br />
public schools.<br />
<br />
Beatrice Nyambe, 64, a retired public school teacher who serves<br />
without pay as principal, worries that when food from school runs out,<br />
most of the children will go back to day work in the fields so they<br />
can buy a few handfuls of corn meal to fill their bellies.<br />
<br />
Munalula, whose own mother was an untrained teacher before AIDS took<br />
her, is the best student in the school and wants to be a teacher as<br />
well. She helps her cousins with their homework, scratching out sums<br />
in the dirt with a stick.<br />
<br />
At school, she and 50 other children in the dirt-floored classroom in<br />
the village of Nalusheke fell silent but for the smacking sounds they<br />
made eating a boiled mush of American bulgur wheat. Each bowlful,<br />
topped with split peas from Canada, cost 12 cents. The bulgur came<br />
from sacks emblazoned with the words, "Gift of the People of the<br />
United States of America."<br />
<br />
Munalula and her barefoot cousins scraped their bowls clean, savoring<br />
each unsweetened bite. But some children barely touched theirs.<br />
<br />
Sisi Negenda, a six-year-old with little braids, shyly explained why.<br />
She has a younger sister, 3, and several orphaned relatives at home.<br />
She said she wanted to share with them. She carried off the bowl,<br />
still heavy with porridge, as though it were a precious, breakable<br />
object.<br />
]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Mon, 09 Apr 2007 03:55:00 EDT</pubDate> 
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                    <title>US Attempts at Regime Change</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/178211</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=304054area=/breaking_news/breaking_news__africa/<br />
<br />
<b>US reveals its efforts to topple Mugabe</b><br />
<br />
The United States admitted openly for the first time on Thursday that<br />
it was actively working to undermine Robert Mugabe, the President of<br />
Zimbabwe.<br />
<br />
Although officially Washington does not support regime change, a US<br />
state department report published on Thursday acknowledged that it was<br />
supporting opposition politicians in the country and others critical<br />
of Mugabe.<br />
<br />
The State Department also admitted sponsoring events aimed at<br />
"discrediting" statements made by Mugabe's government.<br />
<br />
The report will be seized on by Mugabe, who has repeatedly claimed<br />
that the US and Britain are seeking regime change.<br />
<br />
The comments are contained in the state department's fifth annual<br />
Supporting Human Rights and Democracy report. It sets out in detail<br />
actions the US government is taking worldwide to promote human rights.<br />
<br />
The report has had a troubled history. Three years ago publication had<br />
to be hastily delayed when details emerged about US human rights<br />
abuses at Abu Ghraib prison outside Baghdad.<br />
<br />
The US, compared with the United Kingdom, was initially slow to<br />
criticise Mugabe, but has since adopted an increasingly critical<br />
stance, most recently at the Human Rights Council in Geneva last<br />
month.<br />
<br />
In an unusual piece of candour, the State Department report says: "To<br />
encourage greater public debate on restoring good governance in<br />
[Zimbabwe], the United States sponsored public events that presented<br />
economic and social analyses discrediting the government's excuses for<br />
its failed policies.<br />
<br />
"To further strengthen pro-democracy elements, the US government<br />
continued to support the efforts of the political opposition, the<br />
media and civil society to create and defend democratic space and to<br />
support persons who criticised the government."<br />
<br />
While the US and British governments still insist their aim in<br />
Zimbabwe is not regime change, they have been encouraging the main<br />
opposition leader, Morgan Tsvangarai, who was beaten up last month.<br />
<br />
The report says that while Zimbabwe is nominally democratic, the<br />
government of Mugabe is "now authoritarian".<br />
<br />
At a press conference to launch the document, the Assistant Secretary<br />
of State, Barry Lowenkren, said the US goal was not necessarily regime<br />
change but to create a level playing field for all parties. He added<br />
that where there was a country with record levels of inflation, denial<br />
of basic human rights and other abuses, the US had a duty to speak out<br />
so that people in Zimbabwe knew they had support.<br />
<br />
Asked whether US efforts to promote human rights worldwide were being<br />
undermined by the hundreds of of people being held at GuantÃ¡namo,<br />
Lowenkren insisted the issue was not raised by non-governmental groups<br />
at conferences he attended and participants were more interested in<br />
what the US could do to help them in their own countries.<br />
<br />
He also denied the report was softer on authoritarian governments<br />
allied to the US, such as Belarus, than to Zimbabwe.<br />
<br />
Lowenkren said $66-million was being spent on promotion of democracy<br />
and human rights in Iran, about half of which was devoted to<br />
broadcasts from outside the country and the rest spent on support for<br />
non-governmental exchanges, cultural exchanges such as the visit by<br />
the US wrestling team and a Persian internet service.<br />
<br />
The report is critical of Russia, noting the killing of the journalist<br />
Anna Politkovskaya.<br />
<br />
It says: "Political pressure on the judiciary, corruption and<br />
selectivity in enforcement of the law, continuing media restrictions<br />
and self-censorship, and government pressure on opposition political<br />
parties eroded the public accountability of government leaders.<br />
<br />
"Security forces were involved in additional significant human rights problems."<br />
<br />
University considers revoking degree<br />
Meanwhile, the University of Massachusetts (UMass) is considering<br />
revoking an honourary doctorate of law it awarded Mugabe in 1986.<br />
<br />
Some students at the Boston campus have circulated a petition asking<br />
for the university to revoke the degree, and officials say they are<br />
considering doing so.<br />
<br />
"Mugabe's actions during the past decade show he's fallen from being a<br />
good citizen of the world," said Shauna Murray, a graduate student who<br />
helped circulate the petition. "He has a track record of suppressing<br />
basic human rights like free speech and the right to protest, and that<br />
doesn't represent what students here stand for."<br />
<br />
The issue also has surfaced at the University of Edinburgh in Scotland<br />
and Michigan State University, which gave Mugabe honourary degrees in<br />
1984 and 1990, respectively.<br />
<br />
Terry Denbow, a Michigan State spokesperson, said administrators have<br />
received letters requesting that Mugabe's degree be rescinded.<br />
<br />
"There have been discussions, but I know of no formal process for<br />
rescinding the degree," Denbow said.<br />
<br />
Officials at Edinburgh said the issue of Mugabe's degree was under review.<br />
<br />
According to the UMass policy, honourary degrees are handed out to<br />
people "of great accomplishment and high ethical standards".<br />
<br />
Recipients have included former South African president Nelson<br />
Mandela, former United Nations secretary general Kofi Annan, author<br />
Toni Morrison and comedian and educator Bill Cosby.<br />
<br />
Once lauded as a model for African democracy, Mugabe has tried to<br />
crush opposition to his power and has threatened to expel Western<br />
envoys for criticising his government.<br />
<br />
The country's Roman Catholic bishops said last month that health,<br />
education and other public services "have all but disintegrated".<br />
<br />
"Mugabe has become a scourge of his people and a scourge of Africa,"<br />
said Michael Thelwell, a professor in the UMass Afro-American studies<br />
department.<br />
<br />
But Thelwell and others cautioned against revoking the degree just to<br />
appease Mugabe's critics.<br />
<br />
"The task of intellectuals is to seek the truth, not to be swayed by<br />
pressures of the moment," said Bill Strickland, a UMass politics<br />
professor. "If they take away the degree, they have to look at all the<br />
facts surrounding what is happening in Zimbabwe and not simply blame<br />
just one person." - Guardian Unlimited (c) Guardian News and Media<br />
Limited 2007, Sapa-AP<br />
]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Sat, 07 Apr 2007 20:59:00 EDT</pubDate> 
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                    <title>Fake caring about Zimbabwe-Great Perspective!</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/167402</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[i never thought i'd say this about an article from the Daily Mail or Mail on Sunday from Britain - but this is a great article :-) it's so well written that i don't think i need a comment to contextualize it.<br />
<br />
enjoy it!<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2007/03/fake_caring_abo.html<br />
<b>Fake caring about Zimbabwe</b><br />
<br />
<i>Read Peter Hitchens only in The Mail on Sunday</i><br />
<br />
Do I care about Zimbabwe? Should you? Every few months, the British media, together with a certain number of politicians, make a fuss about the misery now afflicting that sad country. They sympathise with its ill-fed, oppressed people and with the leaders of its opposition movements. Pictures and reports are published of the horrible beatings given to those who dare to oppose the country's tyrant,  Robert Mugabe. The BBC makes a great to-do about how it is banned from Zimbabwe but still manages to get information out.<br />
                                 <br />
<br />
Nobody can read these accounts without a feeling of outrage and a desire to do or say something. But in my view this is in fact a selfish impulse, unless you are prepared to act personally in some way that will improve matters. We become inflamed with righteous anger about these things, only to prove to ourselves that we are nice, civilised people. In truth, we have absolutely no intention of doing anything about it.<br />
   <br />
<br />
And if we did, it would probably fail.  I don't know how many of those who call for intervention in Zimbabwe could find it on a map, but the fact that the country has no coastline could present a small problem to anyone who wanted to invade it. In any case, this is all futile stuff.<br />
                                  <br />
<br />
The disastrous and irreparable defeat of British arms by the Japanese in Singapore in 1942 finished the British empire for all time, though it would take a little while for this truth to become obvious. India went first, and, after a pause ended by the Suez fiasco, the rest followed soon afterwards. Not only could we not afford the empire any more. Our reputation for invincibility had been smashed by Japan, and we had lost the psychological advantage we had gained in the 18th century and had reinforced by our merciless crushing of the Indian mutiny in 1857.<br />
                                    <br />
<br />
All over Asia, the Japanese had been careful to see that captured British officers and soldiers were visible to their former colonial subjects, reduced to the status of humiliated, suppliant slaves. The effects of this were enormous and permanent in Asia, and word spread to Africa quite quickly.<br />
                                     <br />
<br />
Britain, which during the war against Hitler was understandably paying less attention to the Empire than it would otherwise have done, was slow to realise how much things had changed. But by the end of the 1950s, its leaders decided it could not afford an African colonial empire.<br />
                                       <br />
<br />
Its influence in the area has been in decline ever since, replaced by the USA, China, Cuba and - to a surprisingly small extent - Russia. The problem with Zimbabwe, formerly Southern Rhodesia, was that it was already semi-independent and self-governing in any case, with a white minority that did not wish to lose its privileged way of life because of Britain's decline. It was very difficult for a British government, trying to soothe the feelings of the United Nations and to scrub away all traces of unfashionable colonial supremacy, to force the Southern Rhodesians into giving up their power. They had good reason to suspect that, when they did, they would swiftly lose their pampered way of life.<br />
         <br />
<br />
So London devoted much of the late 1960s and all the 1970s to trying to force a settlement there that would enable the British government to avoid all future responsibility and appear in tune with modern thinking.  This ended in 1979, under the Thatcher government but endorsed by the whole British establishment, with the Lancaster House agreement.<br />
                              <br />
<br />
This handed Zimbabwe to the sinister Robert Mugabe -  mainly because he was too politically and militarily strong to be denied. there were better men available, but they were not strong enough, and the rigged elections which followed confirmed the Lancaster House settlement<br />
                                     <br />
<br />
The history of that process is long, complicated and not specially honourable on any side. It involves, as so often, the curious paradox that the campaigners for 'freedom' turned out to be tyrants themselves once they had power, and that life under the 'colonial oppressors' was in many ways more prosperous and peaceful than it was to become later. You do not have to be a sympathiser of Ian Smith, the leader of the Rhodesian Front and the chief opponent of majority rule, to recognise that Robert Mugabe has done terrible damage to the country and its people. You do not have to be a partisan of Robert Mugabe to recognise that Smith's Southern Rhodesia was a state based on racial discrimination, that could not survive and should not have survived as it was. Was this unavoidable? Possibly.<br />
                  <br />
Mugabeepa2102_228x197<br />
<br />
Intelligent British politicians and diplomats knew, or at least suspected back in the 1950s and 1960s that the end of empire might well mean severe suffering for the people involved.  Most of them probably privately admitted that - as in India in 1947 - this country simply no longer had the strength to rule, and that it must make the best of a very bad bargain by trying to leave behind as much democracy, law and freedom, and as strong an economy, as it could manage.<br />
                                          <br />
<br />
Many of the British colonial administrators, in Africa and Asia, were genuinely devoted men who had worked very hard to bring incorruptible justice, education and prosperity.  Such men did all that they could to leave good things behind - and I am always greatly moved by two legacies that seem to have lasted specially well. <br />
                                          <br />
<br />
Even where elections are rigged and parliaments fail, and civil servants are corrupt, it is amazing how often African judges defy the new tyrants of Africa, releasing political prisoners and halting torture. And it is equally amazing how often African journalists continue to print the truth, despite the very real danger of torture and death, or the smashing of their presses. Free speech and law, interestingly enough, may be more important and enduring than democracy in securing justice and liberty.<br />
               <br />
<br />
What practical conclusions can we draw from this? First, that our power in these parts of the world is gone for good, and it is just posturing to imagine that a protest in London will make any difference there. Comrade Mugabe's response that his critics could 'go hang' is rude and brusque, but also an accurate estimate of how things stand. He doesn't care what we think, and what's more he doesn't even pretend to care.<br />
                <br />
<br />
That's embarrassing of him.  We would much prefer an expression of concern, some sign that we matter, even if don't. In fact, his taunting of us for our powerlessness may be his greatest offence against those interventionist liberals who like to imagine that a tough leading article in the Guardian will make Harare tremble.<br />
                                       <br />
<br />
Second, that the worst crimes of empires often come at the finish of them.  Having persuaded people to rely on our power and our ability to protect them,  we abruptly change our minds and disappear over the horizon, leaving them with a parliament building, a flag, an anthem, several unresolved territorial disputes and (quite often) a Mugabe figure who, if not very pleasant, is at least strong enough to take over the state.<br />
                                          <br />
<br />
This is, so far as I have been able to work out, the most powerful argument against empire - which in its British form was often highly benevolent so long as it existed.  It has to end, and when it does, there is almost always tragedy. People often say, without thinking, that the winding up of the British empire was a civilised and creditable episode. I completely disagree. the scuttle from India, 60 years ago this year, and the smaller but more poisonous scuttle from Palestine soon afterwards, are among the most shameful episodes in British history. Our departure from Africa was not much better. The USA, and its ring of loyal client states in the former Soviet Union, from the Caucasus to the Baltic, should beware of a comparable bout of shameful departures, probably in the next 30 years, when Washington loses interest in this part of the world and Moscow reasserts its ancient dominance.<br />
                     <br />
<br />
Third, that other countries do not exist to provide broad open spaces in which we can exercise our constipated, under-used consciences. It is incredibly easy, and rather enjoyable, to rail against tyrants and injustice a long way away. The tyrants cannot get at you, and if you travel to these places on a Western passport, the worst you are likely to face is expulsion. But it is so much harder, and less glamorous, to challenge the power-grabbers and would-tyrants, and petty but persistent injustices, in your own home country - where your targets can take revenge.<br />
            <br />
<br />
Fourth, that intervention cannot permanently alter the balance of power in foreign lands. Unless you are prepared to stay forever, the 'improvements' you achieve will not survive your departure by more than a few years. Worse, people who trusted you and relied on you will be left to dreadful fates.<br />
                                              <br />
<br />
Caring about a foreign injustice is futile unless you have the means to express your concern through effective, sustained action. It is an impulse designed to make the carer feel good to himself, and look good in the eyes of others, rather than to do good. So the honest answer, for most of us, is that we do not really care. But who dares say so? To say in a public place that you do not think Britain should intervene in Zimbabwe is to court shocked disapproval. Yet those who say they think we should intervene are applauded - even if they have no intention of doing anything.<br />
<br />
All comments are moderated by the community team. Please contact community@dailymailonline.co.uk with any queries about moderation<br />
<br />
]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2007 09:52:00 EDT</pubDate> 
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                    <title>Some Context on Zimbabwe's Situation...</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/166977</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[i found these two articles in South Africa's Sunday Times to be<br />
somewhat refreshing and worth reading as opposed to most of the<br />
sensational pieces floating over the internet and other newspapers.<br />
<br />
Complicated times over here - but we're living through them... somehow!<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
From http://www.sundaytimes.co.za/PrintEdition/Insight/Article.aspx?id=414960<br />
<br />
<b>Peering through Zimbabwe's layers of deception</b><br />
<br />
18 March 2007<br />
Mohau Pheko<br />
<br />
<br />
I have become jaded over the Zimbabwe issue.<br />
<br />
I've been reading Confessions of an Economic Hit Man by John Perkins,<br />
which describes how highly paid professionals lurk in the shadows to<br />
cheat countries around the world out of trillions of dollars. When<br />
they emerge, their modus operandi includes overthrowing heads of<br />
state, rigged elections, manufactured terrorist attacks, payoffs, sex,<br />
murder and extortion.<br />
<br />
It has me wondering whether recent events in Harare are not the<br />
makings of an over- productive mastermind trying , through make-<br />
believe scenarios, to evoke sympathy and outrage for what may actually<br />
be seeds of deception.<br />
<br />
Frankly, the reported situation in Zimbabwe has become the perfect<br />
script for a spy movie.<br />
<br />
On October 12 2005, Morgan Tsvangirai precipitated a fatal split in<br />
his six-year-old opposition when he stormed out of a Movement for<br />
Democratic Change meeting, prompting the faction led by the party's<br />
deputy secretary, Gibson Sibanda, to suspend him .<br />
<br />
In return, Tsvangirai supporters suspended Sibanda and members of his<br />
faction. Stunned by their party leader's dishonesty and dictatorial<br />
tendencies, the MDC found itself divided.<br />
<br />
It has to be said that Tsvangirai's bizarre behaviour that day left<br />
many formerly enthusiastic supporters baffled. Why, some question, was<br />
he committed to boycotting the election? Why would he not countenance<br />
an alternative plan? Why was he dogmatic and unyielding in his view,<br />
prepared to trample on the MDC's constitution, lie to the media and<br />
even declare to the national council, "If the party breaks, so be it"?<br />
Why has he not done anything since to reconcile the two opposing<br />
factions? Could a secret meeting with Zanu-PF kingmaker Solomon Mujuru<br />
â husband of vice-president Joyce Mujuru â have changed his mind?<br />
<br />
In the tradition of the espionage movie, conspiracy theories abound.<br />
The Gibson Sibanda faction has been accused of secretly conniving with<br />
President Thabo Mbeki to undermine Tsvangirai. On the other hand,<br />
there are those who believe that President Robert Mugabe and<br />
Tsvangirai are colluding on a blueprint that is mutually beneficial.<br />
There are accusations that Tsvangirai has been colluding with Zanu- PF<br />
in a plot by Mujuru's husband, betraying the MDC by pulling out of<br />
senate elections in exchange for undisclosed political rewards.<br />
<br />
If one links these events, recent statements by various leaders of the<br />
ruling Zanu-PF make perfect sense. The government of Zimbabwe declares<br />
its innocence in recent events by implicating opposition forces within<br />
the MDC for the latest calamity. In essence, it is said the opposition<br />
came with pangas to the recent march to deal with each other. In the<br />
interest of public safety, the police had to intervene to stop the<br />
altercation.<br />
<br />
In the mind of many, this ongoing war within the opposition in<br />
Zimbabwe is a perfect cover for the country's Central Intelligence<br />
Organisation to meticulously deepen divisions within the opposition,<br />
and undermine any credible opposition or threat to the ruling party.<br />
<br />
The government's response to recent events is consistent with the<br />
words of Emmerson Mnangagwa, shortly after the deployment of the Fifth<br />
Brigade in Mata beleland North in 1983. As minister of State Security<br />
responsible for the CIO, he stated: "Blessed are they who will follow<br />
the path of the government law, for their days on earth shall be<br />
increased. But woe to those who will choose the path of collaboration<br />
with dissidents for we will certainly shorten their stay on earth."<br />
<br />
In trying to discover who is culpable in the Zimbabwe crisis, Mugabe's<br />
statement is instructive: "I would like to see an African country that<br />
has gone this length in those directions ... abiding by the rule of<br />
law, accepting the reign of human rights and establishing democracy.<br />
You also have nongovernmental organisations here telling them [the<br />
British government] the opposite of what we are. In the meantime, they<br />
are enjoying the freedom of organising our people without hindrance."<br />
<br />
It is clear from this that Mugabe perceives accusations levelled<br />
against his government as baseless and unfounded.<br />
<br />
As the plot thickens, the sad ending is that after 26 years as<br />
distinguished architects of their own liberation, Zimbabweans pin<br />
their hopes on the retirement of one man. Even more disappointing,<br />
conversations in Zimbabwe have centred on dubious characters for<br />
leadership. It is time Zimbabwe ended the personality cult in<br />
politics. It is time to pause and not blindly follow popular and<br />
charismatic personalities who have already shown that they are<br />
seriously flawed as leaders. For outsiders to support and intervene in<br />
Zimbabwe, solidarity needs to be built on a vision of a new Zimbabwe.<br />
<br />
The lesson to be learnt from Zimbabwe is that a construction of<br />
democracy, where the majority vote and the minority elites govern,<br />
does not lend itself to participatory democracy where citizens can<br />
recall their leaders. Perhaps the real lesson is, presidents do not<br />
assume power through an exam. They are the product of the choices made<br />
by the governed.<br />
<br />
It is incumbent upon all Zimbabweans to elevate the level of debate to<br />
provide a vision of their new society. This will reinforce solidarity<br />
in the region in such a way that those who find themselves in wrong<br />
jobs after 26 years of rule will be conscious of the pressure to step<br />
aside in the interest of a new national vision and thereby end the<br />
seeds of deception.<br />
<br />
----------------------------------------------------------------<br />
<br />
From http://www.sundaytimes.co.za/PrintEdition/Insight/Article.aspx?id=415095<br />
<br />
<b> Inaction lets Zimbabwe crisis play itself out </b><br />
<br />
18 March 2007<br />
Francis Kornegay<br />
<br />
<br />
Second opinion Francis Kornegay says SA and the region have little<br />
choice but to let Robert Mugabe's country stew<br />
<br />
The arrest and brutal detention of Movement for Democratic Change<br />
leader Morgan Tsvangirai and his colleagues have refocused the<br />
spotlight on South Africa's "quiet diplomacy" towards Zimbabwe.<br />
<br />
The assumption, as reflected in Mondli Makhanya's recent commentary<br />
"The joke will be on us if we don't wake up to Zimbabwe's pain" (March<br />
4), is that diplomacy is not working, though what may be the real<br />
source of frustration is Pretoria's lack of effective public diplomacy<br />
regarding Zimbabwe.<br />
<br />
This becomes especially apparent during episodes of overt repression<br />
as witnessed over the past week, though the South African government<br />
did counsel Harare on the need to observe the rule of law and the<br />
rights of all concerned.<br />
<br />
If diplomacy has failed, perhaps a closer look at what is unfolding in<br />
Zimbabwe is in order, accompanied by suggestions of what more South<br />
Africa and/or the Southern African Development Community (SADC) should<br />
undertake.<br />
<br />
At the same time, it is useful to note observations about the recent<br />
Franco-African summit to which Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe was<br />
not invited and at which his fellow heads of state made not a peep.<br />
The loud and clear message from their silence was that they had<br />
"washed their hands" of and were not willing to go to bat for their<br />
tarnished icon.<br />
<br />
Silence can be golden and, in the Taoist tradition of "dynamic<br />
inaction", the best approach to certain intractable situations. Here,<br />
South Africa and the SADC are not alone. Witness the equally lengthy<br />
stalemates between China-North Korea, the Association of Southeast<br />
Asian Nations and Burma or even the US and Cuba.<br />
<br />
Given the fact that the military option is ruled out and cutting off<br />
electricity and a border blockade are equally unpalatable for what<br />
these would convey to our neighbours â the return of the neighbourhood<br />
bully â a protracted crisis-management containment strategy has been<br />
the only realistic option.<br />
<br />
Pretoria has gone the extra mile in searching for a negotiated<br />
internal settlement to Zimbabwe's crisis, to no avail. As this<br />
diplomacy interacted with the dynamics within and between the ruling<br />
Zanu-PF and the opposition MDC, there was less and less scope within<br />
which to work such a settlement. Both parties became internally<br />
divided. But these internal divisions, especially within Zanu-PF, are<br />
what may eventually bear fruit as the country's economic meltdown,<br />
underneath the apparently loosening grip of Mugabe, seems to be<br />
pushing the party's rival factions towards the exit as they search for<br />
a way out of Zimbabwe's predicament.<br />
<br />
Once the negotiating phase of quiet diplomacy had run its course, the<br />
only thing Pretoria and the SADC could do was sit back and, in effect,<br />
let Zimbabwe stew in its own juices.<br />
<br />
South Africa and the SADC must prepare for whatever emerges from this<br />
current "dynamic inaction" phase of quiet diplomacy, which allows<br />
Zanu-PF's internal contradictions to play themselves out towards the<br />
long-awaited "endgame".<br />
<br />
As a result of the growing flood of desperate Zimbabweans streaming<br />
into Zambia â not to mention South Africa, Botswana and Malawi â<br />
Zambian Foreign Minister Mundia Sikatana has suggested that the next<br />
SADC summit in August take up the Zimbabwean crisis. This may signal<br />
the need for a more highly profiled diplomacy on Pretoria's part.<br />
<br />
Sikatana's suggestion that the SADC facilitate dialogue between<br />
Zimbabwe and the European Union could complement some of the<br />
diplomatic outreach being reportedly attempted by some among Zanu-PF's<br />
divided elite. His suggestion would also be in line with the<br />
International Crisis Group's recommendation that Pretoria engage the<br />
EU and the US in devising a strategy to resolve Zimbabwe's crisis.<br />
<br />
Rather than hammering Pretoria without knowing all the facts about<br />
what is and is not happening between South Africa and Zimbabwe, the<br />
media need to focus on breaking developments, with the aim of<br />
stimulating constructive dialogue on Zimbabwe's future and the role<br />
that South Africa and others should play to ensure an internally and<br />
regionally stabilising post-Mugabe transition.<br />
<br />
<br />
Francis Kornegay is senior researcher in international affairs at the<br />
Centre for Policy Studies<br />
]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Sun, 18 Mar 2007 17:29:00 EDT</pubDate> 
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                    <title>Zimbabwe: An End to the Stalemate? - New Crisis Group report</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/165763</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[The ICG has yet again released a STUPID report on Zimbabwe. The<br />
summary to their report is below and has some pretty out of touch<br />
synopses of things over here. Below are a few highlights. What country<br />
are these people talking aboutâ¦? Sometimes I just feel that these<br />
think-tank and advocacy and journalistic types will really never get<br />
it!<br />
<br />
<i>The country is in a very fragile condition: the economy is near<br />
meltdown, and discontent among underpaid police and troops, combined<br />
with the willingness of opposition parties and civil society to<br />
protest in the streets, all increase the risk of sudden major<br />
violence</i><br />
The economy is really really bad. I don't know what they mean by<br />
'meltdown' because predictions of a meltdown have been in place since<br />
2000. but it is rather horrific. So perhaps on that, I'd agree with<br />
them. Public servant are well underpaid but the government seems to<br />
manage to ease their pain whenever it gets too much. Both teachers and<br />
doctors have now called off strikes and are back at work. The cops and<br />
the military going on strike or protest - now that would be something!<br />
<br />
<i>President Mugabe must give up efforts to extend his term, and the<br />
opposing parties must negotiate a compromise</i><br />
This issue of the president's term being extended is really reported<br />
on badly. The other option which the government is weighing is to cut<br />
the term of parliament by two years and have harmonized elections for<br />
the executive and legislature next year - which very well might<br />
happen. Nothing is a done deal yet. But also, it's rather simplistic<br />
to look at this in terms of just the president hanging on to power. If<br />
mugabe wanted to remain president, he would keep the election on next<br />
year and win another six year term. Why have two years when you can<br />
have six ... if staying in power is really your end objective..? this<br />
whole issue is taken out of context and ignore the importance of the<br />
succession debate and process within ZANU PF. It can be critiqued all<br />
we want, but the reality is that they are zimbabwe's dominant<br />
political force at the moment. The opposition couldn't organize a mud<br />
fest in a mud bath and couldn't govern Zimbabwe in its current state.<br />
(not to say the current performance of the entire zim government<br />
leaves much to be desired). The "opposing parties" that "must<br />
negotiate a compromise" are all in ZANU PF. The opposition party just<br />
loves to make itself useless to the whole political future of<br />
Zimbabwe. And speaking of people not extending their terms, the<br />
leader[s] of the opposition my also give up their terms of office<br />
because they have quite frankly failed. A new start at the top level<br />
across the board may not be a bad thing...<br />
<br />
<br />
<i>Pressure by the European Union and the U.S., through targeted<br />
sanctions and isolation, has helped divide the ruling party, ZANU-PF,<br />
persuading key figures whose business interests have been hard hit by<br />
the current crisis, that change is needed.</i><br />
Again - whoever reached this conclusion does not really understand how<br />
the "key figures" in ZANU PF are making their money. This crisis<br />
enables the rich to get richer more than ever. Disengagement never<br />
helped to address a situation like the one we have in Zimbabwe. Keep<br />
the sanctions on, and normal people suffer, are closed off from<br />
accessing key parts of the economy because shortages mean that those<br />
with power access the much needed resources (most of the time) and you<br />
get a case where people made millions. The prohibition in America (a<br />
form of sanctions) taught us all how much money is made when you try<br />
and restrict things to achieve some idealistic pie in the sky<br />
objective. Al Capone died a millionaire. These "key figures" are<br />
millionaires in US dollar terms thanks to these 'targeted' or 'smart'<br />
sanctions. Easy money. Why would they just want to let that go...? get<br />
rid of these sanctions. Allow the economics to normalize and perhaps<br />
most of the country will once again be interested in political<br />
engagement. Survival as an M.O doesn't leave much room for political<br />
analysis and participation.<br />
<br />
These sanction also affect Zimbabwe more than anyone else because the<br />
government runs a lot of state enterprises that are starved off<br />
foreign investment. These enterprises (electricity, fuel, transport,<br />
health services etc) serve a lot of normal, average Zimbabweans. Their<br />
failure to perform because of the indirect results of these sanctions<br />
means that the majority of Zimbabweans suffer. Not the small elite<br />
driving gas guzzling cars which never run out of gas or have<br />
generators to work through power outages. When a zimbabwean government<br />
official cannot talk to potential investors in Europe or the US or any<br />
other place, how is the economy not expect to 'meltdown' ... ? that<br />
coupled with internal mismanagement...? so yeah, these sanctions and<br />
isolation are really helping us. Not at all.<br />
<br />
<i>This pressure should be increased if ZANU-PF does not cooperate<br />
with the opposition to implement a transitional government and restore<br />
democracy.</i><br />
And beating a dead donkey always arose it from the dead! NO! increased<br />
pressure will ultimately help ZANU PF on a number of fronts. The<br />
opposition will probably not get consulted or involved in any<br />
transitional government process primarily because they take some of<br />
their queues from thinkers people who wrote this report. They<br />
unfortunately need to find a way to engage with the government - not<br />
the other way round. We're being practical here, not academic. The<br />
truth is, as much as ZANU PF is failing to administer things, for a<br />
number of different reasons, most people in Zimbabwe today would vote<br />
for ZANU PF (also for a number of varying reasons) regardless of how<br />
much external forces increase pressure on ZANU.<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<i>The Southern African Development Community (SADC), the organisation<br />
of regional countries, should work as a mediator for negotiations<br />
between ZANU-PF and the opposition Movement for Democratic Change<br />
(MDC) and join the EU and the U.S. in defining a clear sequence of<br />
benchmarks leading to a genuinely democratic process</i><br />
SADC has tried that. Hasn't worked. The opposition leaders themselves<br />
have helped to foil some of these efforts. I think we should stop<br />
seeing the MDC as an alternative because most Zimbabweans just don't<br />
think that it is. They can not govern this country effectively in<br />
their present state. SADC is unlikely to place sanctions on Zimbabwe.<br />
Could the writers of this report try to at least understand African<br />
Politics 101.<br />
<br />
<i>"The situation today is reminiscent of the last stages of Mobutu's<br />
reign in the Congo", says Crisis Group President Gareth Evans.<br />
"Zimbabwe has the potential to fall into chaos and bring large chunks<br />
of the region down with it unless both domestic and international<br />
parties act now".</i><br />
The Congo...??? the Congo...??? and Zimbabwe are similar? Mugabe and<br />
Mobutu (who was placed in power by the US government in place of<br />
Lumumba-which is fact and not conspiracy?) how do you compare Mugabe<br />
and Mobutu and their situations. They ran/run two totally different<br />
countries in very different contexts with very different approaches,<br />
systems, achievements, etc. how can the situation in Zimbabwe (where<br />
there is no rebel army fighting the government amongst other things)<br />
compare to that of the Congo?<br />
<br />
<b> Final Comments </b> if I was a donor to the International Crisis<br />
Group I would be very embarrassed with the results of my<br />
contributions. The major international crisis is the one that they<br />
create through putting forth such ignorant, ill-informed and unhelpful<br />
reports on countries and situations they clearly seem to know very<br />
little about.<br />
<br />
<br />
<b>-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------</b><br />
<br />
-- <br />
<br />
From: International Crisis Group [mailto:notification@crisisgroup.org]<br />
Sent: Monday, March 05, 2007 6:29 PM<br />
Subject: Zimbabwe: An End to the Stalemate? - New Crisis Group report<br />
<br />
<b>INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP - NEW REPORT<br />
Zimbabwe: An End to the Stalemate? </b><br />
Pretoria/Brussels, 5 March 2007: The long political stalemate in<br />
Zimbabwe may be breaking at last, but regional intervention and<br />
continued Western pressure are needed to ensure a peaceful restoration<br />
of democracy.<br />
Zimbabwe: An End to the Stalemate,* the latest report from the<br />
International Crisis Group, examines the deadlock in Zimbabwe and sees<br />
in the current moment a chance to resolve the situation through the<br />
retirement of President Robert Mugabe when his term ends in 2008 and a<br />
power-sharing deal to create a transitional government tasked with<br />
preparing a new constitution and holding elections by 2010.<p><br />
The country is in a very fragile condition: the economy is near<br />
meltdown, and discontent among underpaid police and troops, combined<br />
with the willingness of opposition parties and civil society to<br />
protest in the streets, all increase the risk of sudden major<br />
violence. For Zimbabwe to begin to recover, President Mugabe must give<br />
up efforts to extend his term, and the opposing parties must negotiate<br />
a compromise. The months leading to the July parliament session, when<br />
decisions will be taken on Mugabe's fate or transition, are<br />
crucial.<p><br />
"The prospect of President Mugabe's retirement has created an<br />
exceptional rallying point among varied constituencies within the<br />
country", says FranÃ§ois Grignon, Crisis Group's Africa Program<br />
Director. "There is widespread agreement that he must leave so that<br />
the country can finally make progress on the needed economic and<br />
political reforms".<p><br />
Pressure by the European Union and the U.S., through targeted<br />
sanctions and isolation, has helped divide the ruling party, ZANU-PF,<br />
persuading key figures whose business interests have been hard hit by<br />
the current crisis, that change is needed. This pressure should be<br />
increased if ZANU-PF does not cooperate with the opposition to<br />
implement a transitional government and restore democracy.<br />
The Southern African Development Community (SADC), the organisation of<br />
regional countries, should work as a mediator for negotiations between<br />
ZANU-PF and the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) and<br />
join the EU and the U.S. in defining a clear sequence of benchmarks<br />
leading to a genuinely democratic process. SADC leaders have an<br />
opportunity to talk to Mugabe now about a retirement package to be<br />
implemented not later than 2008 â and at last get him to listen. The<br />
MDC needs urgently to reconcile its feuding factions.<p><br />
"The situation today is reminiscent of the last stages of Mobutu's<br />
reign in the Congo", says Crisis Group President Gareth Evans.<br />
"Zimbabwe has the potential to fall into chaos and bring large chunks<br />
of the region down with it unless both domestic and international<br />
parties act now".<br />
________________________________________<br />
Contacts: Andrew Stroehlein (Brussels) 32 (0) 2 541 1635<br />
Kimberly Abbott (Washington) 1 202 785 1601<br />
To contact Crisis Group media please click here<br />
*Read the full Crisis Group report our website: http://www.crisisgroup.org<br />
________________________________________<br />
The International Crisis Group (Crisis Group) is an independent,<br />
non-profit, non-governmental organisation covering over 50<br />
crisis-affected countries and territories across four continents,<br />
working through field-based analysis and high-level advocacy to<br />
prevent and resolve deadly conflict.<br />
________________________________________<br />
]]></description> 
					<pubDate>Fri, 09 Mar 2007 12:52:00 EST</pubDate> 
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                    <title>Hunger and AIDS</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/73497</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[from the Financial Gazette... a weekly newspaper in zimbabwe<br />
<br />
http://www.fingaz.co.zw/story.aspx?stid=2031<br />
<br />
<br />
Forget about hunger, Zimbabweans just love sex<br />
*Charles Rukuni Bureau Chief *<br />
**<br />
*BULAWAYO â Forget about rampant inflation, high unemployment, or the fact<br />
that more than one million people need food aid. *<br />
<br />
Forget that you are lucky to live beyond 34. Zimbabweans just love sex. That<br />
is the impression one gets when one looks at the amount of money being<br />
poured into HIV/AIDS when an estimated 1.4 million are said to have no food.<br />
<br />
The major food<br />
donor, the World Food Programme, last month said it might cut down on the<br />
number of people it was feeding because it did not have enough food for an<br />
estimated 1.4 million hungry people until the end of March next year when<br />
the current season's harvest is expected to start rolling in.<br />
It said that it would require US$16 million to purchase 26 000 tonnes of<br />
grain needed to meet the anticipated shortfall.<br />
At about the same time, Britain said it<br />
had awarded 20 million pounds (US$38.7 million) to Zimbabwe to fight the HIV<br />
and AIDS epidemic.<br />
The disease currently affects 1.8 million people. The money would be used to<br />
distribute more than 250 million condoms through 700<br />
hair salons over the next five years. International Development Secretary<br />
Hilary Benn was quoted as saying: "People should not die because they have<br />
sex."<br />
As if to support the appropriateness of the donation, The Sunday Mail<br />
reported that Zimbabwe led the world in the use of condoms. Some 163 million<br />
male condoms and 3.8 million female condoms â the highest in the world â had<br />
been sold in Zimbabwe over the past five years.<br />
While the HIV/AIDS epidemic has devastated the country, Zimbabwe is now<br />
reportedly winning the war against HIV/AIDS. Prevalence is reported to have<br />
declined to 18.1 percent from over 30 percent at one stage.<br />
But some 3 200 people are still reportedly dying each week, a figure<br />
controversial Roman Catholic Archbishop Pius Ncube says is higher than the<br />
deaths in Sudan's war-torn Darfur region.<br />
This has prompted some AIDS activists to question why so many people are<br />
still dying while the prevalence rate is reportedly declining. Others are<br />
questioning the efficacy of aid, who this aid actually benefits, and who<br />
determines who needs what.<br />
South African AIDS activist, Theo Smart, in an article entitled: Zimbabwe<br />
observes a reduction in HIV prevalence, but why said while there had been a<br />
substantial reduction in national HIV prevalence, it could not all be<br />
attributed to the ABC (Abstinence, Be faithful and Condoms). The extremely<br />
high mortality rate could also have contributed greatly to the reduction in<br />
prevalence, he argued.<br />
"Mortality plays more than one part in this, because it doesn't only<br />
decrease prevalence directly, it can decrease incidence as well, by<br />
decreasing the pool of infectious individuals who can spread the<br />
infection," Smart argued, citing several case<br />
studies that were released at the 2006 HIV/AIDS Implementers Meeting<br />
of the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief that was held in Durban<br />
early this year.<br />
"This is particularly the case when most of those who have died are men<br />
because infected men are much more likely than women to spread the infection<br />
to more than one partner."<br />
He also said Zimbabwe's economic decline over the past seven years could<br />
have played a part.<br />
"The collapsing economy could have additional effects that could decrease<br />
mobility, and therefore risk of HIV infection," he said. "Unemployment has<br />
sky-rocketed in Zimbabwe, and there have been major fuel shortages."<br />
"The commercial mining sector has collapsed, and factory work has<br />
evaporated. Cities no longer offer much work. So as a result of Zimbabwe's<br />
economic contraction, many of the old hotspots for HIV transmission â near<br />
the factories and mines, at truck stops along the highway â could be<br />
dwindling or people no longer have a reason or the means to go there . . .<br />
"It's important to remember that this is, after all, Zimbabwe. Since the<br />
year 2000, Zimbabwe's economy has ground to a halt; the country suffered<br />
from floods, followed by severe drought and endemic food insecurity. In this<br />
context it is odd, to say the least, that the official mortality rate<br />
reportedly peaked before all that trouble began. But even if famine and<br />
inflation didn't increase the numbers of people dying, the calamity would<br />
have increased the costs of caring for a person with HIV tremendously."<br />
Smart argued that the stigma attached to people with HIV/AIDS was an<br />
effective deterrent on its own as people with HIV/AIDS had been variously<br />
described as being "in the departure lounge", or having "crossed the red<br />
robot" or "bewitched by goblins". These were all things very few people<br />
wanted to be associated with and therefore would not take that route.<br />
He, however, stressed that this was not to say that ABC strategies did not<br />
work. But a balanced prevention campaign was needed.<br />
Those who argue that aid is not working in Africa, even in the case of Aids,<br />
said most of the money reportedly being poured into the disease was<br />
trickling back to the donor countries.<br />
Michael Holman, former Africa editor of the Financial Times said in an<br />
article in The Africa Report of last month that the irony about the aid<br />
industry into Africa was that an estimated US$4 million was spent annually<br />
to recruit 100 000 expatriates while at the same time about 70 000 skilled<br />
Africans such as doctors, nurses and engineers, left to work abroad.<br />
"The multi-billion dollar aid industry has largely failed in Africa. Not<br />
only have they failed along with others in the aid industry, most<br />
nongovernmental organisations (NGOs) have become part of the problem," he<br />
wrote. "Not that they will admit their failure. They refuse to share the<br />
blame for the grim record. Instead they have closed ranks - along with UN<br />
development agencies and bilateral agencies â and all sing from the same<br />
hymn sheet: 'Aid works', they claim. 'Give us even more money and we will<br />
complete the job . . ."<br />
A British-based non-governmental organisation, Action Aid, painted an even<br />
grimmer picture. It said of the US$79 billion aid that was meant for Africa<br />
this year, US$37 billion was "phantom aid" which meant that it was not<br />
genuinely available to the countries which were supposed to benefit. It said<br />
too much aid continued to be haphazardly allocated with little reference to<br />
need. It was tied to requirements that it be spent on donor countries' own<br />
companies. It was double counted as debt relief, or was lost through<br />
cumbersome and poorly coordinated procedures and systems.<br />
Condoms available in Zimbabwe, for example, are "specially imported" from<br />
Britain by an American organisation Population Services International.<br />
Action Aid said about two-thirds of aid from the world's biggest donor, the<br />
United States, was phantom aid. In Zimbabwe, most of the programmes being<br />
sponsored by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID)<br />
are implemented by United States-based organisations such as the Futures<br />
Group, the Centres for Disease Control, Population Services International,<br />
the Elizabeth Glaser Pediatric Aids Foundation and John Snow Inc.<br />
"Too much (aid) continues to be identified, designed and managed by donors<br />
themselves, (is)tied to donor countries' own firms, (is) poorly coordinated<br />
and based on a set of often untested assumptions about expatriate expertise<br />
and recipient ignorance," Action Aid said. As a result, this aid was often<br />
overpriced and ineffective "and in worst cases destroys rather than builds<br />
the capacity of the poorest countries".<br />
Social commentator Claude Mararike agreed. Zimbabweans had to realise that<br />
the West had its own agenda which was not necessarily that of Zimbabweans<br />
and should therefore question what was in it for those countries that<br />
provided aid to the country, he said.<br />
"Anyone who puts his or her money into any activity, gets mileage from that<br />
activity," he said. "Governments in Europe have always been interested in<br />
numbers in Africa and to some extent Asia. How are they increasing? What is<br />
the mortality rate and so on? The question is resources. The fewer the<br />
people in Africa, the better for Europe."<br />
"People must realise that our survival is more important than sex.<br />
Munozofunga the sex madya (You will only think about sex after eating)," he<br />
said.<br />
<br />
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					<pubDate>Fri, 01 Dec 2006 03:57:00 EST</pubDate> 
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                    <title>P.W. Botha Saga continued...</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/61489</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[Continuing my theme for this week, an interesting article from <a href="http://www.businessday.co.za/articles/opinion.aspx?ID=BD4A309133">Business Day</a>, a leading South African daily newspaper.<br />
<br />
In other news, the  <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6109000.stm">BBC</a> put together excerpts from leading african newspapers commenting on<br />
Botha's death. Notably, they are not very polite about the passing of<br />
P.W. Botha. one of the few South African 'leaders' to say something of<br />
value on this issue was Tokyo Sexwale [former Premier of Gauteng<br />
Province and a political prisoner on Robben Island] who is quoted on<br />
the BBC website as saying:<br />
<i>"We should not forget the kind of regime he represented, he was<br />
ruthless, he was brutal, he was a leader of apartheid during the<br />
harshest years of that regime, the sad truth is that he is leaving<br />
with many secrets which he should have revealed perhaps during the<br />
time of the Truth and Reconciliation Commission."</i><br />
<br />
I agree a lot with the article below by Mvoko and also feel that the<br />
South African government and civil society has missed a great<br />
opportunity to deal effectively with the negative history that their<br />
country is still trying to succesfully emerge from.<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<b>Groot Krokodil: when moving on obscures historical perspective</b><br />
by Vuyo Mvoko<br />
 ________________________________<br />
<br />
<br />
THERE are times when I do get to appreciate just how lucky I am. In a<br />
country of more than 40-million people, I'm one of very few people who<br />
have the privilege to occupy, and sometimes command, a public space<br />
many other South Africans only dream of.<br />
<br />
Every week, through this column, I get to speak to elected public<br />
representatives, as well to business people who have every right to<br />
conduct their affairs and spend their millions the way they deem fit.<br />
Members of the public greet me and are sometimes full of praise for a<br />
job they say I sometimes do well.<br />
<br />
It can only be good for a fragile but extraordinary ego of a boy from<br />
an Eastern   Cape township, brought up by a domestic worker<br />
grandmother and a "painter's boy" grandfather. I have sat in front of<br />
presidents and other world leaders, and now tell them what they should<br />
be thinking, saying and doing.<br />
<br />
But I must also say that secretly I often battle with under- or<br />
overplaying my role and influence, to say nothing of the discomfort<br />
that sometimes comes with thoughts such as: What if I get proven<br />
wrong? and, Am I imposing my "narrow" world view on others? It<br />
particularly struck me this week, as I listened, watched and read what<br />
everyone was saying about PW Botha, following the apartheid SA prime<br />
minister's death. I felt an awkward sense of betrayal when people I<br />
regard ay my leaders — Nelson Mandela, Thabo Mbeki, Desmond Tutu —<br />
chose to say very little, if anything, about the atrocious man that we<br />
came to know as Die Groot Krokodil.<br />
<br />
Born in the ordinary Free   State town of Paul Roux and of ordinary<br />
Afrikaner parents, Pieter Willem Botha died this week with a solid<br />
reputation of being one of the most appalling men to have presided<br />
over the apartheid machinery. He chose to be evil, killing and maiming<br />
thousands of innocent black people, and imposed his narrow world view<br />
on all of us. Until the second he died, we took care of his basic<br />
needs, his health, welfare, security and comfort: privileges which<br />
still remain beyond the reach of millions of black people.<br />
<br />
I was ready to dance on Botha's grave when, on behalf of all citizens,<br />
including me, Mbeki expressed "heartfelt condolences" to the Botha<br />
family. Botha's death, I sincerely believed, should have been used to<br />
teach generations that may have never directly experienced his<br />
viciousness that we would have indeed gone very far as a nation had we<br />
not had people like that finger-wagging racist.<br />
<br />
Albeit temporarily, Botha made apartheid succeed where it could have<br />
failed. His relaxation of some laws — such as the Immorality Act and<br />
for which some, FW de Klerk included, now believe Botha deserves<br />
credit — were never about a change of heart but were dismal attempts<br />
at buying time. Botha's half-hearted "reforms" remain inconsistent<br />
with everything he did afterwards. For me, there were no obvious<br />
reasons for a liberation movement that the African National Congress<br />
(ANC) says it still is to be as kind to Botha and his rotten legacy.<br />
<br />
It prompts the question: does being "a nation at work" now mean that<br />
when opportunities arise for us to put our history into perspective,<br />
we will shy away from that because we need to "move on"? And if that<br />
is the case, is it the sort of thing that the ANC leadership will,<br />
from now on, seek to impress on the minds of its cadreship that it has<br />
deployed in every sphere of our public lives? Will the ANC leadership,<br />
for example, tell its deployees in the SABC that what they committed<br />
themselves to after meeting a parliamentary committee early this week<br />
is perhaps not the right thing to do?<br />
<br />
SABC board chairman Eddie Funde, still pissed off at the leak of the<br />
"blacklisting" report implicating news head Snuki Zikalala, apparently<br />
made an undertaking to investigate the source of the leak. This means<br />
that there is still another sideshow in the Zikalala saga — before the<br />
SABC even begins to deal with the issues raised around Zikalala's<br />
management style and journalistic integrity.<br />
<br />
Long after everybody else was reporting on Botha's death, the SABC's<br />
10pm news bulletin was still leading with a Helen Zille piece. If the<br />
SABC board focused on the real issues, it could start by confronting<br />
the challenges facing the national public broadcaster, which have a<br />
lot to do with journalism. While the SABC is not really short of money<br />
or bodies it can call journalists, getting scribes with skills, and<br />
keeping them, remains an elusive goal, something that is not helped by<br />
Zikalala's management style and (mis)conception of what a journalist<br />
should do.<br />
<br />
My ego notwithstanding, and my thirst for dead Botha's blood refusing<br />
to go away, I am, for once, prepared to let bygones be bygones.<br />
Focusing on the past; hunting down those who may have wronged you;<br />
listening to your ego; abusing your privileged public position;<br />
wanting to be right all the time — all those things may be good for<br />
revenge and point-scoring, but they may just keep your eyes away from<br />
your goal.<br />
<br />
Time to let any old and poison-filled Groot Krokodil die, lest we wake<br />
it up only to destroy our future.<br />
<br />
<i>Mvoko is an independent media and political consultant.  </i><br />
<br />
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					<pubDate>Fri, 03 Nov 2006 04:56:00 EST</pubDate> 
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                    <title>It Get's "Better" ...</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/60521</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[So there's actually more to the P.W. Botha thing. This guy gets a<br />
<b>State Funeral!!!</b> The  <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6104332.stm">BBC just reported</a> that South Africa will be giving this guy a state<br />
funeral... are you kidding me! what is the ANC smoking! We actually<br />
have a debate about whether it's appropriate to name South Africa's<br />
main international airport after O.R. Tambo, a giant in making South<br />
Africa the country that it is today, and then we have a crazy dictator<br />
get hero status? People like Botha and Ian Smith and Adolf Hitler<br />
cannot get state funerals, at least not from the same states that they<br />
have helped to destroy.<br />
<br />
(note how the BBC article does use the word racist or racism not even<br />
once. call a spade a spade. this dude was a racist dictator. when will<br />
we all wake up...?)<br />
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					<pubDate>Wed, 01 Nov 2006 07:02:00 EST</pubDate> 
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                    <title>NY Times: Soft on Racsim!</title> 
                    <link>http://Dumisani.tigblog.org/post/60139</link> 
                    <description><![CDATA[so PW Botha, one of the worst leaders of an African country EVER died<br />
last night. it's interesting how the NY Times gives this extra long<br />
obituary, but doesn't even paint him in the negative light that he<br />
deserves. the whole thing tastes like a cucumber. plain and bland.<br />
this guy, who was responsible for one of Africa's most brutal regimes<br />
EVER gets this, as an obituary? He is not even refered to as a racist<br />
in this article. not once. infact, the WORD "racist" comes up once to<br />
refer to "racist policies." When people like Idi Amin died, i bet<br />
their obituaries didn't read this rosy. when other african 'dictators'<br />
died, there are articles of good riddance to bad rubbish. this guy was<br />
a dictator. let's call a spade a spade. he was a horrible, cold, mean,<br />
racist, unrepentant brutal dictator who led one of africa's worst<br />
governments ever... let's see what the NY Times will say about robert<br />
mugabe when he dies. i bet the title of their obituary will not say<br />
"R.G. Mugabe, Zimbabwe's ex-leader dies at [age]."  the word dictator<br />
will be mentioned. is that because there are different shades of<br />
african leaders and dictators. how does Pik Botha not fit in amongst<br />
the WORST...?<br />
<br />
perhaps we should be the ones calling the NY Times racist, because<br />
this is just sickening, to see the subliminal endorsement of what<br />
Botha stood for.<br />
<br />
<b>CNN</b> had a little clip they showed on TV (at least on CNN<br />
international. i know CNN in the US is different) and its tone was the<br />
same. not hard hitting, not standing against the values this man<br />
represented. at the end the voice over said "until the very end, the<br />
crocodile (and Botha was known) was unrepentent, unrelenting..."<br />
what!?<br />
<br />
can someone turn up the al jazeera...?<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<b>P.W. Botha, South Africa's ex-leader, dies at 90</b><br />
<br />
By JOSEPH R. GREGORY <a href="http://nytimes.com">The New York Times</a><br />
<br />
Published: October 31, 2006<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
P.W. Botha, the hard-nosed South African leader who struggled vainly<br />
to preserve apartheid rule in a tide of domestic racial violence and<br />
global condemnation, died today at his home in South Africa. He was<br />
90.<br />
<br />
His death was reported by the South African Press Association in Cape<br />
Town, quoting security staff at Mr. Botha's home on the southern Cape<br />
coast.<br />
<br />
Mr. Botha was a combative, irascible son of a well-to-do Afrikaner<br />
farm family who dropped out of college to work for the right-wing<br />
National Party, then rose through the ranks of South Africa's<br />
political establishment, gaining a reputation as the "Old Crocodile"<br />
for his ability to charm, outwit and crush his opponents.<br />
<br />
In 1978, Mr. Botha became prime minister and proceeded to engineer the<br />
creation of a new constitution, one that held out the promise of a<br />
limited relaxation of the nation's apartheid policies and paved the<br />
way for him to become president in 1984. "We must adapt or die," Mr.<br />
Botha told his constituents after becoming Prime Minister.<br />
<br />
But the constitution only roiled the battle over race. Though it<br />
allowed Asians and people of mixed race to be represented in a<br />
white-controlled Parliament, it continued to exclude the nation's<br />
black majority. Some apartheid laws, like a prohibition on mixed<br />
marriages and a requirement that blacks carry special passes, were<br />
relaxed. But the measures only fueled the anger of apartheid's<br />
opponents. One opposition leader, Frederik van Zyle, said Mr. Botha's<br />
changes in apartheid were the political equivalent of rearranging the<br />
deck chairs on the Titanic.<br />
<br />
Holding out the promise that apartheid would eventually be dismantled,<br />
he opened negotiations with Nelson Mandela, the imprisoned leader of<br />
the African National Congress. The talks went nowhere, and Mr. Mandela<br />
remained confined.<br />
<br />
At the same time, Mr. Botha, who first achieved national prominence as<br />
defense minister, gave the military and police unprecedented power.<br />
His government repressed dissent, encouraged rivalries among Zulus,<br />
Xhosa and other tribes and ethnic groups, and tried to destabilize<br />
neighboring countries opposed to white rule.<br />
<br />
Mr. Botha used the climate of the cold war to justify his actions. He<br />
portrayed a growing Marxist threat in southern Africa and warned that<br />
Communists had infiltrated the anti-apartheid movement at home. South<br />
Africa, he said, was engaged in a "total war" and must develop a<br />
"total strategy" to fight the battle.<br />
<br />
As opposition to apartheid spread, Mr. Botha's room to maneuver<br />
shrank. "He was caught in a bind between wanting to show the<br />
international community that he was not inflexible, and not wishing to<br />
appear weak within his own country," the journalist Allister Sparks<br />
wrote in his 1995 account of the end of apartheid, "Tomorrow Is<br />
Another Country: The Inside Story of South Africa's Road to Change."<br />
<br />
In 1985, Mr. Botha was supposed to announce a giant step away from<br />
apartheid, but his proposals, which offered black Africans the vote<br />
under a legislative system that gave them no real power, disillusioned<br />
South Africa's few remaining friends in the world.<br />
<br />
Yet for a while Mr. Botha's methods seemed to belie Alexis de<br />
Toqueville's dictum that "the most perilous moment for bad government<br />
is when it seeks to mend its ways." Mr. Botha was re-elected in 1987.<br />
Two years later, amid growing opposition within his own party to his<br />
intransigent style, the president suffered a stroke and resigned. He<br />
was succeeded by F.W. de Klerk, who legalized opposition parties,<br />
freed Mr. Mandela and other political prisoners, and made the<br />
agreements that eventually brought apartheid down.<br />
<br />
Pieter Willem Botha was born on Jan. 12, 1916, in the Orange Free<br />
State to a Boer farm family with deep roots in southern Africa's<br />
"White Tribe" - descendants of mainly Dutch settlers who had had been<br />
living on the continent's southern tip for more than three centuries<br />
and who referred to themselves as Afrikaners.<br />
<br />
Beleaguered, stubborn and insular, they saw themselves as heirs to a<br />
promised land watered with the blood of their ancestors in wars<br />
against Zulus, Ndebele and other tribes.<br />
<br />
The Boers and the British, with their imperial aims, were also old<br />
enemies, rivals for land, diamonds and gold. Their enmity culminated<br />
in the Boer war of 1899-1901, which ended in a British victory and the<br />
eventual consolidation of the country under the empire.<br />
<br />
Mr. Botha's father fought the British, who burned his mother's family<br />
farm. She and her family fled but were eventually captured and<br />
interned. Their experiences forged their son's attitudes. Raised in<br />
the traditions of the Bible and the gun, he learned to ride and shoot<br />
and to embrace the embattled self-